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Romney Has Substantial Lead Over Obama In Florida

The good news is just going to keep on coming!

Not only can Obama not even win a majority of counties in Kentucky (he won 61, while 67 counties voted as ‘uncommitted’), he can’t even hold down other primaries. In other news, Romney’s got a 6-point lead in Florida.

Here’s the text of the article:

Mitt Romney has now taken a 6-point lead over President Barack Obama in the battleground state of Florida.

A new Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday found Romney now besting Obama 47 percent to 41 percent among likely Florida voters. That’s a shift from earlier this month when a Quinnipiac poll found Romney and Obama statistically tied in the state. In March, Obama led Romney 49 to 42 percent in the Sunshine State.

If Romney were to add Florida Sen. Marco Rubio to the ticket, the presumptive Republican nominee would expand his lead in the state only slightly, according to Quinnipiac. Forty-nine percent of Florida voters say they’d choose a Romney/Rubio ticket versus 41 percent who say they’d vote for Obama and Vice President Joe Biden. (The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 2.4 percentage points.)

Romney’s improved standing in the state is in part due to voter angst over Obama’s job performance. Just 45 percent of Florida voters view the president favorably, compared to 50 percent who see him negatively. Fifty-two percent of Florida voters disapprove of the job Obama is doing in the White House. An equal number say the president doesn’t deserve a second term in office.

Romney’s favorable rating is one point lower than Obama’s at 44 percent, but just 35 percent view him negatively. Meanwhile, half of Florida voters say Romney would do a better job handling the economy, compared to 40 percent who prefer Obama.

But Obama still has one major advantage: Voters continue to say he’s more “likable” than Romney. Seventy-six percent say Obama is “likable” compared to 58 percent for Romney.

There’s also a great opinion piece over at Fox News that talks about Obama’s flubs with the Catholic electorate. The text of that article is below:

The news Monday that 43 different Catholic entities across the country are suing the Obama administration, in response to the Health and Human Services’ (HHS) rule mandating employer health care coverage of contraception, abortion-inducing drugs, and sterilization, comes as a blow to the president’s strength among Catholics, a demographic that helped carry him to victory in 2008.

This news comes on the heels of the the latest CBS News/New York Times poll which finds Mitt Romney now leading President Obama among women, yet another demographic that he previously commanded.

If Mr. Obama was hoping to once again rely on Catholics and women to help carry him to electoral success in 2012, it appears as though he is miscalculating.

A recent survey by the Pew Research Center shows that, despite the administration’s self-portrayal as the champion of “women’s issues” amidst a supposed Republican “war on women,” the president’s reelection advantage among women has declined in recent months as well as with another key demographic — Catholics.

Obama was ahead among Catholics by 9 points in early March, and is now trailing by 5 points.

The Pew survey finds that, among Catholic voters with an opinion, 47% would today vote for President Obama, and 52% for former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.

That same margin, were it to hold on Election Day, would mark a swing of 18 million voters away from Obama.

The loss of these Catholic votes alone would remake the 2008 electoral map, delivering Florida to Governor Romney and leaving the president no margin for error in Colorado or Ohio.

Women appear to be unimpressed by the Democratic strategy of alleging a “war on women,” with the president in the role of their defender.  And that very strategy to turn women against Republicans has only served to alienate Catholic voters – including, of course, Catholic women.

The “war on women” narrative was a strategic shift, invented after polls revealed strong public support for exempting religious employers and charities from the heavy-handed HHS mandate.

The Obama administration no doubt knew it would lose some support with Catholics in the mandate. But they surely did not anticipate the strong and unified voice with which Catholic leaders, in particular bishops, responded even after the administration offered a compromise widely rejected as an accounting gimmick.

In the most comprehensive survey conducted on the issue yet, Washington-based public opinion firm QEV Analytics recently found that some 50% of regular churchgoing Catholics heard a statement during Mass setting forth the bishops’ serious misgivings about the insurance mandate. Of all the Catholics who heard this statement, most apparently agreed with it.

The administration likely gambled that minor losses with the Catholic vote would be more than compensated for by surging support from women, in particular young, single women. But the QEV findings indicate that this was a major miscalculation.

Even among women under age 45, the survey found that a majority – 54% – support the Church’s position that religious institutions should not be required to violate their own teachings.

Among women age 45 or older 58% felt the same; they question the wisdom of a mandate that would leave many faith-based charities no choice but to curtail their services to the needy, or close down altogether.

As for whether the government should single out birth control to be mandated and cost-free when so many other drugs are not, again a clear majority of women — sixty-three percent — say “no.” After all, is your mother’s blood pressure medication or your child’s asthma medicine free by federal decree?

When all of the QEV findings are added up, the mandate has yielded no advantage for the administration among the young female voters it was presumably targeting: only 17% of women under 45 say they are more likely to vote for Obama because of it, while 26% say they are less likely.

And among every other category of women, the issue turns out to be a loser, while also carrying a very tangible cost among Catholics: Twenty-nine percent say they are now less likely to vote for the president because of this issue, more than double the 13% who say it makes them more likely to support him.

For its part, reading only the approving editorials of the secular press, the Obama political team may view its election tactics with religious groups and women as working.

The administration will no doubt feel emboldened to assert yet more federal power over religious groups in a second term.

If the quickly changing sentiments among Catholics and women are any indicator of things to come, however, the administration is not going to get that chance.

Unfortunately, what follows below is something that we shouldn’t be celebrating, even though it outlines Obama’s continued failures as president. Many thanks to Crossroads Generation for finding this info. This particular post can be found here.

Young Americans face incredibly high unemployment rates, and many are giving up looking for work. Even among those young Americans with a job, many are only working part-time but are looking for full time work.

  • The unemployment rate for Americans 18-29 is 11.6% (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics).
  • This number doesn’t include young Americans who have given up. Between Obama’s inauguration and April 2012, there are 1.4 million more young Americans who aren’t even in the workforce as employed or looking for work. (Source: BLS).
  • Thirty-two percent of 18-29 year olds in the U.S. workforce were underemployed in April 2012. Source: “One in Three Young U.S. Workers are Underemployed,” Gallup, May 9, 2012: http://www.gallup.com/poll/154553/One-Three-YoungUnderemployed.aspx)
  • When new graduates find jobs, their starting salaries tend to be lower than those who graduated a decade earlier, and may never catch up. (Source: “For Most Graduates, Grueling Job Hunt Awaits,” Wall Street Journal, May 7, 2012)
  • For Americans under 24 without a college degree, one in five who are looking for a job cannot find one. (Source: “Generation Jobless: For Those Under 24, a Portrait in Crisis,” Wall Street Journal, November 7, 2011)

Students graduating during Obama’s term in once have had it worse than students graduating before his presidency. The debt burden those graduates took on to get their degree has risen as well.

  • Fewer than half of the students who graduated from college during Obama’s presidency were able to find a full-time job within a year of graduation, compared to nearly three out of four graduates finding full time work in the years before Obama took office. (Source: “For Most Graduates, Grueling Job Hunt Awaits,” Wall Street Journal, May 7, 2012)
  • Student loan debt is now over $1 trillion. (Source: “Student Loan Debt Exceeds One Trillion Dollars,” NPR, April 24, 2012: http://www.npr.org/2012/04/24/151305380/student-loan-debt-exceeds-one-trillion-dollars)
  • Nearly two thirds of the class of 2010 graduated with debt, averaging $25,000 of debt per graduate. (Source: “For Most Graduates, Grueling Job Hunt Awaits,” Wall Street Journal, May 7, 2012)

Young Americans want to be independent, but the bad economy is keeping young Americans from living on their own and making the life choices they want.

Obama’s support among young voters has fallen from where it stood in 2008.

  • According to the most recent Harvard Institute of Politics study, just barely half of young people approve of Obama’s job as president, and only 41% approve of his handling of the economy. (Source: http://www.iop.harvard.edu/Research-Publications/Survey/Spring-2012-Survey)
  • Democrats’ lead among voters under 30 fell by sixteen points from the 2008 to 2010 exit polls, from a 29 point lead on the House ballot in 2008 to a 13 point lead in 2010. (Source: Media Exit Polls, 2008 and 2010)
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